★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)Economics & TradeFinance China’s Credit Ratings Face Negative Outlook, Foreign Outflows Continue to Flatten Equity Performance Moody's shifted their outlook on China's sovereign credit rating to "negative" on Tuesday morning, highlighting a potential need for stimulus…McAlinden Research PartnersDecember 5, 2023
★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)FinanceMonetary Policy Bank Profits Cut as Paper Losses Rebounded in Q3, But Falling Yields Could Ease Balance Sheet Pressure New data from the FDIC shows that US bank profits shrunk in Q3 while unrealized losses re-expanded to near record…McAlinden Research PartnersNovember 30, 2023
★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)MarketsMonetary PolicyPolitics & Policy Outlook on US Debt Now Negative at Moody’s, Government Shutdown Could Carry Yield Implications Moody's now maintains a "negative" outlook on US sovereign debt, compounding a credit rating downgrade from Fitch Ratings in August,…McAlinden Research PartnersNovember 13, 2023
★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)FinanceMonetary Policy Persistent Bond Fund Bonanza Indicative of Increasingly Aggressive Bets on US Treasury Yield Trajectory Record monthly volume in a key US bond fund throughout October was symptomatic of burgeoning interest in US treasuries among…McAlinden Research PartnersNovember 6, 2023
★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)FinancePolitics & Policy US TIC Data Shows Foreign Official Treasury Holders are Cutting Exposure, Potentially Pushing up Yields Though total foreign holdings of US Treasuries have risen throughout the past several months, the latest Treasury International Capital (TIC)…McAlinden Research PartnersOctober 19, 2023
⚑ Joe Mac's ViewpointsEconomics & TradeMarketsMonetary Policy Tightening Approaches a Tipping Point After more than a year of fighting breakout inflation, the Fed appears to have finally gotten a firm grip on…McAlinden Research PartnersAugust 4, 2023
★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)FinancePolitics & Policy Fitch’s US Debt Downgrade Dismissed by Some, But Could be Driving Long-Term Rates Higher A downgrade of the US's sovereign debt by Fitch Ratings, from AAA to AA+, has been widely dismissed by government…McAlinden Research PartnersAugust 3, 2023
★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)FinanceMarkets Increased Loan-Loss Provisions Projected in Upcoming US Bank Earnings, Resurgent Rates Apply Pressure Estimates for US bank earnings suggest increased defaults on loans from large American lenders, as well as greater provisions for…McAlinden Research PartnersJuly 10, 2023
★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)FinancePolitics & PolicyReal Estate & Construction Commercial Real Estate Price Drop, Potential US Debt Default Raise Risks for Regional Banking Space Commercial real estate prices fell for the first time in over a decade last quarter, heightening the risks overexposed banks…McAlinden Research PartnersMay 18, 2023
★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)FinanceMonetary Policy Upcoming Bank Earnings Will Draw Attention to Deposits, Direction of Net Interest Margins With US banks set to begin reporting Q1 earnings later this week, all eyes will be on which large institutions…McAlinden Research PartnersApril 11, 2023